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发表于2025-03-07
Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025
A few years ago, Ray Dalio noticed a confluence of political and economic conditions he hadn’t encountered before. They included huge debts and zero or near-zero interest rates that led to massive printing of money in the world’s three major reserve currencies; big political and social conflicts within countries, especially the US, due to the largest wealth, political, and values disparities in more than 100 years; and the rising of a world power (China) to challenge the existing world power (US) and the existing world order. The last time that this confluence occurred was between 1930 and 1945. This realization sent Dalio on a search for the repeating patterns and cause/effect relationships underlying all major changes in wealth and power over the last 500 years.
In this remarkable and timely addition to his Principles series, Dalio brings readers along for his study of the major empires—including the Dutch, the British, and the American—putting into perspective the “Big Cycle” that has driven the successes and failures of all the world’s major countries throughout history. He reveals the timeless and universal forces behind these shifts and uses them to look into the future, offering practical principles for positioning oneself for what’s ahead.
Ray Dalio is the founder and cochairman of Bridgewater Associates, which, over the last forty years, has become the largest and best performing hedge fund in the world. Dalio has appeared on the Time 100 list of the most influential people in the world as well as the Bloomberg Markets list of the 50 most influential people. He is the author of Principles, Big Debt Crisis, and Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. He lives with his family in Connecticut.
概括起來:中國稱霸世界指日可待,概率最大
評分債務周期視角下的世界秩序
評分讀的第二本瑞達裏奧的書。此書最近感覺已經成瞭網紅書瞭。很多人推薦。第一部分寫的蠻不錯雖然開頭一副”老朽錢賺夠瞭現在不想自己掖著瞭 想分享你們普羅大眾一點信息” 的態度有點故弄玄虛。不過基本的原理關於國傢起伏的內在原因還是闡述的很清楚。歸根到底還是經濟發展壓倒一切。第二部分簡單講瞭幾大霸權的起伏但是關於中國的篇幅是其他的兩倍而且很多私人經驗很多正麵評論,難怪goodread的英文評價惡評很多 說他長他人誌氣 滅自己威風。不過這恰恰反映瞭作者的某種關於美國走下坡路的評價的正確之處。最後第三部分總結基本就是重復第一第二部分的內容。基本來說值得一讀。不過略重復 但是作者很貼心的給瞭黑體標注重點,趕時間直接隻看黑體即可。
評分All currencies will devalue or go to zero eventually.
評分No 2 of 2022. 五星好評,我願意吹爆這本書。利用元旦假期讀完這厚厚又沉甸甸的一本書,糅閤瞭曆史,政治和經濟的趨勢大輪廓總結,以一個上帝視角觀察瞭過去幾百年的輪迴和麯綫。撇開作者和中國的深厚友誼和關係,對曆史的評價和對中國的理解還是很客觀和深刻的,懂得曆史的人能在對方角度去思考的人都是有大智慧的人,同時作者對中美關係的評價以及未來趨嚮發展也是足夠理性的。除此之外,曆史是復雜的,這種抽絲剝繭的概括不能詮釋曆史的全部,但至少讓我們能夠跳齣自己的視野去更好的理解和觀察這個世界,畢竟在時代的趨勢下我們每個人都是渺小的灰塵。
更新:最近YTB 新出了视频 Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order by Ray Dalio 强烈推荐 书主要看了第一章、记录如下 —— 世界如何运转? 1. Upward trend (Human-level) 即生产力的不断提升。反映在了 - 人均GDP的增加 - 人均寿命的增加 2. Big cycles (Coun...
評分1 任何事物都有着一定的周期性,并会在历史的车轮中,不断围绕着周期进行永久循环。(资本市场 国家政权 人的一生都有着强烈的周期性)。 2 要想把握全局,就不能着眼于细节。 3 未来的时代将与我们有生之年所经历的时代完全不同,但与历史上的许多时代有着相似之处。 4 财富...
評分 評分 評分Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025