图书标签: 社会学 心理学 思维 经济学 科普 盖茨 认识论 英文
发表于2024-06-16
Factfulness pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024
Factfulness: The stress-reducing habit of only carrying opinions for which you have strong supporting facts.
When asked simple questions about global trends―what percentage of the world’s population live in poverty; why the world’s population is increasing; how many girls finish school―we systematically get the answers wrong. So wrong that a chimpanzee choosing answers at random will consistently outguess teachers, journalists, Nobel laureates, and investment bankers.
In Factfulness, Professor of International Health and global TED phenomenon Hans Rosling, together with his two long-time collaborators, Anna and Ola, offers a radical new explanation of why this happens. They reveal the ten instincts that distort our perspective―from our tendency to divide the world into two camps (usually some version of us and them) to the way we consume media (where fear rules) to how we perceive progress (believing that most things are getting worse).
Our problem is that we don’t know what we don’t know, and even our guesses are informed by unconscious and predictable biases.
It turns out that the world, for all its imperfections, is in a much better state than we might think. That doesn’t mean there aren’t real concerns. But when we worry about everything all the time instead of embracing a worldview based on facts, we can lose our ability to focus on the things that threaten us most.
Inspiring and revelatory, filled with lively anecdotes and moving stories, Factfulness is an urgent and essential book that will change the way you see the world and empower you to respond to the crises and opportunities of the future.
Hans Rosling was a medical doctor, professor of international health and renowned public educator. He was an adviser to the World Health Organization and UNICEF, and co-founded Médecins sans Frontières in Sweden and the Gapminder Foundation. His TED talks have been viewed more than 35 million times, and he was listed as one of Time Magazine’s 100 most influential people in the world. Hans died in 2017, having devoted the last years of his life to writing Factfulness.
Ola Rosling and Anna Rosling Rönnlund, Hans's son and daughter-in-law, were co-founders of the Gapminder Foundation, and Ola its director from 2005 to 2007 and from 2010 to the present day. After Google acquired the bubble-chart tool called Trendalyzer, invented and designed by Anna and Ola, Ola became head of Google's Public Data Team and Anna the team’s senior user experience (UX) designer. They have both received international awards for their work.
比尔盖茨的上半年推荐书。前面的章节,可以作为平克的“这个世界在变好吗”的注脚,但比平克的要易读;整书可以作为Critical thinking的指引,但有时候觉得作者扩散得有点大,会讨论到不是他专业领域的事情,但并不严重,也不令人厌烦,因为作者的行文一直很平和,让人舒服。 作者认为,基于事实的世界观值得追求且最终也是会实现的: - 首先,这对生活有重要的指导意义 - 其次,基于事实的生活模式,让人更放松一些,从而也活得从容一些
评分在这个世界的很多领域,情况都在变好,而我们并不知道(或是意识不到)。面对复杂问题,一定要提醒自己不能简单化归因,而是要认真的分析(最新的)数据以及数据背后真正的逻辑,避免做出错误的判断。真好啊,在年末又读到一本挑战自己固化思维和系统性认知偏差的书。向读友圈安利~
评分Single-sided ideology is dangerous, outdated world view is dangerous, selected data is dangerous.
评分13道题测试地址 http://forms.gapminder.org/s3/test-2018
评分知道Hans Rosling这位风趣的瑞典教授,是因为他在Ted Talk用视觉统计学演绎人口变化,是个可以跨界做脱口秀的学者!先生推荐他的这本书Factfulness,文如其人,轻松幽默,同时教读者理性冷冰冰的分析数据。 他用的例子都好奇特:比如他会玩吞剑的杂技(我专门上Youtube搜了,好精彩),以表明没有什么是不可能的;他还会翻出自己的陈年糗事,在急诊室工作时以为病人大出血,结果发现那血只是糖浆还是颜料,以证明恐惧的本能容易导致误判;或是提起年轻时在超市见到婴儿床,会跑上前去把仰卧睡觉的婴儿翻成俯卧(那个年代认为俯睡能防止婴儿呛噎致死)。 好文,要向他这个审慎乐观的”可能主义者“(possibilist)学习。
我很早之前就想过,能不能把生活中遇到的种种问题、事件,修枝剪叶,简化成一个个模型,清晰地看透这是一个什么样的问题,然后再以最合适的方式解决它。我觉得这是每一个理智、有原则的人都应该具有的能力,就像在做高中概率题,无论题干场景如何变,它都逃不开那几种题型,搞...
评分 评分 评分 评分这本书是被盖茨在个人的读书网站上做了推荐的,盖茨一直对于世界发展,贫富差距,社会福利这些问题高度关注,这本书概括起来,指出了十个我们都会依赖,但是会阻碍我们对于世界作出客观准确判断的直觉。 本书中反复提到的一个例子,就是针对世界宏观认知的一系列问题上,我们的...
Factfulness pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024